Generational Inequity
- Date: Tue, 27 Apr 1999 11:39:30 -0400 (EDT)
- From: "William J. Burrows" <bill_burrows@amecom.com>
- Subject: Generational Inequity
Here is the proof. Worker who paid in max. will do worse!
CASE 1. AVERAGE WORKER$
YEAR OF RETIREMENT 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1999 2010 2020
LIFE EXPECTANCY AT AGE 65 12.8 13.6 14.2 14.9 16.4 17 17.2e 17.5e 18.0e
VALUE OF PAYMENTS AT RET. 68 492 2035 5175 24764 88005 179853
FUTURE VALUE OF BENEFITS 3825 8642 15530 31376 42238 100955 172623
RATIO OF BENEFIT TO PAYMENTS 56 18 7.6 6.1 1.71 1.15 0.96 .85e .75e
RETURN ON INVESTMENT 243.00% 28.20% 16.55% 12.50% 9.50% 7.65% 5.30% 2.5%e 1.5%e
$WORKER EARNED AT THE INDEX WAGE (AVERAGE NON-FARM INDUSTRIAL) AS CALCULATED BY BLS
WORKER ASSUMED TO HAVE WORKED FULL TIME EVERY YEAR FROM AGE 21 ON
*ALL ANNUITY VALUES ARE CALCULATED BASED ON THE LONG US BOND INDEX WHIICH IS THE PRIMARY VEHICLE FOR SS INVESTMENTS.
ALL VALUES ARE IN DOLLARS AT YEAR OF RETIREMENT, IE PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE BENEFIT PAYMENTS
BOTH EMPLOYER AND EMPLOYEE PAYMENTS ARE INCLUDED (MEDICARE IS EXCLUDED).
WORKER RETIRES AT AGE 65 (NO SPOUSAL BENEFIT IS INCLUDED)
NOTE: FUTURE YEAR BENEFITS BEYOND 1999 CALCULATED ON ZERO INFLATION, LONG BONDS AT 1.25%
^RATE THAT WOULD HAVE TO HAVE BEEN PAID ON EVERY DOLLAR "INVESTED" UP TO AND UNTIL THEORETICAL ACCOUNT HAS ZERO BALANCE AT DEATH.