On 9/6 Marty Tennant wrote: From: Marty Tennant <marty@sccoast.net> Date: Fri, 06 Sep 1996 08:24:43 -0700 Subject: The FCC's and State Commission's Role I'd like to provide a little backgound and a few predictions on the current and future state of universal service. First of all, the current rate structure in the US has businesses paying from 2 to 3 times the rate paid by residential users. This has been part of the strategy of Universal Plain Old Telephone Service for as long as most people can remember. Business rates subsidize residential. ---[stuff deleted]--- ----------------------------------------- I would observe that we should not take as a given the statement: *Business rates subsidize residential*. While I find the general thrust of Marty's comments regarding likely future trends in telco rates plausible, I have encountered cost studies by state regulators & others that show that residential service is not historically a net loss proposition for telcos. While there are certainly specific locations that cost more to serve than is charged - e.g. the most remote rural residence - in aggregate I would not assume that residential service requires a subsidy from business rates. (Telcos have their own cost studies that typically peg the cost of residential service at a higher rate than the cost studies to which I refer. Opposing cost studies are frequently presented to state regulatory commissions in proceedings which set rates.) Business rates are indeed higher, implying either that business users put more load on the network and actually cost more to serve, or telcos make a better profit margin serving business customers, or both. The dilemma: this is a historical perspective. In a future competitive environment where no one provider is guaranteed all the residential phone service, the aggregate cost for a given provider of providing residential service will be a function of which subset of customers are being served, and the costs of serving those particular customers. In theory, a *carrier of last resort* could be stuck with all the high cost customers and not enough of the profitable ones to sustain affordable residential rates, unless through some subsidy mechanism. Of course, the other thing that could happen is that in a competitive environment the twin mechanisms of market forces and technology could combine to produce the deployment of more efficient (e.g. wireless local loops?) infrastructure that allows providers to offer stable residential rates and still make a profit. ...Now where is that crystal ball? -Jack McFadden